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Breaking News All | United Prayer | SA Center | SA Newsroom
FRONT PAGE  |  5/13/2021
TUESDAY, APR 7, 2020  |  19 comments
Expert COVID prediction of 50K hospitalizations in N.Y. by April 1: 400% too high
However, the IHME model's prediction of how many people would be hospitalized in the state by April 1 was much higher than what the actual number ended up being.

The model found that on April 1, New York would need 50,962 beds.

Former New York Times reporter Alex Berenson noted that projection was far off -- it was 400 percent too high, in fact.


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www.wnd.com
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News Item4/8/2020 11:47 AM
Frank  Contact via emailFind all comments by Frank
Neil wrote:
“I’ve looked at all the models. I’ve spent a lot of time on the models. They don’t tell you anything. You can’t really rely upon models."
I'm impressed - now and then someone actually gets it.
"The director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases said there were too many variables involved in the predictions."
I could've told them that without being an expert.
I agree Neil, although I have not spent any time on the models. Why, because my brain doesn’t work that well. But, I have always been told that we can make statistics show whatever we want them to show. And the accuracy of models depends on the presuppositions we use.

Garbage in garbage out.

19

News Item4/8/2020 11:09 AM
Neil | Tucson  Find all comments by Neil
“I’ve looked at all the models. I’ve spent a lot of time on the models. They don’t tell you anything. You can’t really rely upon models."

I'm impressed - now and then someone actually gets it.

"The director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases said there were too many variables involved in the predictions."

I could've told them that without being an expert.

18

News Item4/7/2020 4:36 PM
Mike | New York  Find all comments by Mike
Jim Lincoln wrote:
It's working hard to catch up, Mike❗👎
https://tinyurl.com/qu2hh7r (Coronavirus live updates: NY death toll has largest single-day jump, Cuomo says)
Oh, Mike, some Republicans or even remember the following:
https://tinyurl.com/uqfggk3 (Coronavirus government response updates: Navarro warned White House of virus danger in January)
Ok, but Sorry, Jim, no revisioniist motivation allowed. Trump in January called to shut down travel from China as a first step. He was called racist for doing so. You have to keep up and note who's doing and saying what and when. If the media can't get things straight, you should keep a record, so you don't end up looking as foolish as they do, and will continue to look. Btw, he's been right about China all along, way before all this latest stuff.
17

News Item4/7/2020 3:50 PM
Jim Lincoln | Nebraska  Find all comments by Jim Lincoln
Mike wrote:
Covid-19 has its work cutout if it's going to catch up with flu. The party of death Democrats and their media lackeys are hoping for the new virus to continue for months, through election, and start foaming at the mouth at any suggestion to the contrary that might happen.
It's working hard to catch up, Mike❗👎

https://tinyurl.com/qu2hh7r (Coronavirus live updates: NY death toll has largest single-day jump, Cuomo says)

Oh, Mike, some Republicans or even remember the following:

https://tinyurl.com/uqfggk3 (Coronavirus government response updates: Navarro warned White House of virus danger in January)

16

News Item4/7/2020 3:28 PM
Wayfarer pilgrim | Lubbock, Texas  Find all comments by Wayfarer pilgrim
Yes, rich little girl AOC , who’s boyfriend is facing ethical charges, was saying only black and brown folks die with it. Well here’s it’s been little old ladies in nursing homes. Where’s the blue haired flag for them? Oh it’s because they were old white and brown, don’t matter then.
15

News Item4/7/2020 3:21 PM
Mike | New York  Find all comments by Mike
Adriel wrote:
The Influenza virus is complaining that this new boy on the block is stealing its customers.
The Democrats are looking into this discrimination to see if they can use it in the election stats and blame the Republicans.
Covid-19 has its work cutout if it's going to catch up with flu. The party of death Democrats and their media lackeys are hoping for the new virus to continue for months, through election, and start foaming at the mouth at any suggestion to the contrary that might happen.
14

News Item4/7/2020 3:17 PM
Jim Lincoln | Nebraska  Find all comments by Jim Lincoln
Adriel wrote:
The Influenza virus is complaining that this new boy on the block is stealing its customers.
The Democrats are looking into this discrimination to see if they can use it in the election stats and blame the Republicans.

By the way,Adriel, the time is already come in Australia and a will in this country, that people should get their flu shots

But anyway for Republicans who can read, they should take note❗

https://tinyurl.com/ugo3o9k

It isn't the Republican party that cares for them.

13

News Item4/7/2020 2:43 PM
Adriel  Find all comments by Adriel
The Influenza virus is complaining that this new boy on the block is stealing its customers.

The Democrats are looking into this discrimination to see if they can use it in the election stats and blame the Republicans.

12

News Item4/7/2020 1:30 PM
NeedHim  Find all comments by NeedHim
You be safe as well also Bro Frank, for what a precious shelter & refuge Christ is. As the Saints can truly say that one is truly doing better than they are deserving of today, praise Him, amen!

I don’t know the Brother preaching but the Evangelist I know who travel all over, know the Brother, & say good things about the Bro!

11

News Item4/7/2020 1:15 PM
Frank  Contact via emailFind all comments by Frank
NeedHim wrote:
Powerful here when people see the truth that is done with in the Murder Mills, as it’s n’t little puppies but Babies!
https://youtu.be/Pmrozp2upKQ
Pro 6:16-18 These six things the Lord hates, Yes, seven are an abomination to Him: A proud look, A lying tongue, Hands that shed innocent blood, A heart that devises wicked plans, Feet that are swift in running to evil,
Thanks brother for your comments on this subject. I checked the link out and whoever was doing the Christian counseling clearly had the love of the Lord motivating him.

Stay safe!

10

News Item4/7/2020 1:12 PM
Jim Lincoln | Nebraska  Find all comments by Jim Lincoln
Caroline Chen wrote:
....
For the purposes of containing the outbreak right now, however, Jeffrey Shaman, a professor of environmental health sciences at Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health, says the focus on asymptomatics is a bit of a red herring.

“In some sense, symptomatic versus asymptomatic isn’t really the appropriate dividing line” for us to be focusing on, he said. “The appropriate dividing line is documented versus undocumented infection.”

What Shaman means by “documented” is people who are identified as being infected, either because they were sick enough to go seek care or were tested through contact tracing, which is when public health officials track down all the contacts of someone who tested positive. The “undocumented” could be people who have symptoms but didn’t get tested, because of lack of access to testing, dislike of doctors or sheer stoicism — or more concerningly, people who had no symptoms or such mild symptoms that they decided to just carry on with their daily lives....
excerpt from,"What We Need to Understand About Asymptomatic Carriers if We’re Going to Beat Coronavirus"

https://tinyurl.com/vnmlhft

9

News Item4/7/2020 1:08 PM
NeedHim  Find all comments by NeedHim
Powerful here when people see the truth that is done with in the Murder Mills, as it’s n’t little puppies but Babies!

https://youtu.be/Pmrozp2upKQ

Pro 6:16-18 These six things the Lord hates, Yes, seven are an abomination to Him: A proud look, A lying tongue, Hands that shed innocent blood, A heart that devises wicked plans, Feet that are swift in running to evil,

8

News Item4/7/2020 12:45 PM
NeedHim  Find all comments by NeedHim
Very sad state of affairs, Nick. As I have personally myself & with other faithful saints. I know. who do regular murder mill ministry, lovingly engaging the Roman Catholics, with their false Gopel message, many others who walk past the doors of death!

& Sadly seeing 2 enter the Doors of Death, & only 1 coming out!!!!!!!

Praise the Lord for faithful saints who love on the lost who in love share why they are in utter danger in being in a fallen state of active rebellion against Christ amen.

Pro 15:8 The sacrifice of the wicked is an abomination to the Lord, But the prayer of the upright is His delight.

7

News Item4/7/2020 12:20 PM
Nick | USA  Find all comments by Nick
From January 1 to April 1
COVID-19 has caused 46,438 worldwide fatalities,
Seasonal Flu has caused 121,993; HIV/AIDS 421,808; Smoking 1,254,352
Abortion 10,665,130. I think we are focusing on the wrong killer.
6

News Item4/7/2020 12:11 PM
Ezekiel  Find all comments by Ezekiel
www.coronavirusinformation.weebly.com

What virus?

5

News Item4/7/2020 10:19 AM
Anton  Find all comments by Anton
Trust your doctor. Always.
4

News Item4/7/2020 9:52 AM
Dr. Tim | Way Down Yonder  Find all comments by Dr. Tim
Egg spurts.
3

News Item4/7/2020 8:59 AM
Mike | New York  Find all comments by Mike
You gotta love experts.
2

News Item4/7/2020 7:28 AM
JD Saved by Grace | Florida  Find all comments by JD Saved by Grace
Expert?
1
There are a total of 19 user comments displayedSubscribe to these comments


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